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    Posts Found in Fantasy Sports

    Fantasy Football Friday

    Posted November 20, 2009 by david carrillo
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    For all of you who play fantasy football, let the countdown officially begin. We are down to (for most people) just three weeks of the regular season and the pressure to win is greater than ever. Whether you have already clinched a playoff berth, find yourself on the edge, or have long since given up hope, now is the time to kick it into high gear. You might feel that there is no way you can pick up a quality player this late into the season but you could not be more wrong. Are you a Michael Turner or Julius Jones owner scrambling for a replacement? No problem. Are you a Matt Ryan or Joe Flacco owner getting tired of poor production? There are alternatives. Are you like the majority of owners who have become frustrated by inconsistent wide receiver play? Let me help you.

    There isn’t exactly a dearth of talent on the waiver wire but smart owners (especially in shallow, 10-team leagues) can pick up players right now that can produce this week and beyond and help get them into the playoffs (or at least make your team respectable if you are already out. No one likes a tanker!).

    One word of caution before we proceed — I am not suggesting you start any of these players over bona fide studs like Aaron Rodgers, Chris Johnson or Reggie Wayne (all first in fantasy points at their position). What I am saying is that if you find yourself in a bind and need to pick up a player to replace someone who is injured or simply not producing, the following three guys are available and ready to contribute.

    QB Vince Young, Tennessee Titans (Owned in8.1 percentof ESPN leagues): I know, I know. I just suggested that Young is a viable pickup in fantasy football but hear me out; it isn’t as crazy as it sounds. Very quietly Young has posted three consecutive games of at least 12 fantasy points and has a favorable match-up against the Houston Texans, a team which has allowed at least 12 fantasy points to quarterbacks in four out of the last five weeks.

    RB Justin Forsett, Seattle Seahawks (Owned in 22.6 percent of ESPN leagues): I also like Jason Snelling of the Atlanta Falcons, but with Michael “The Burner” Turner still having a chance to suit up on Sunday I will take the little known Forsett instead. Forsett, the backup for the injured Julius Jones, is slated to start and should get the bulk of the work out of the backfield. I realize he is going up against the vaunted Minnesota Vikings defensive line, but Forsett is also a good pass catcher and has extra value if you are playing in a PPR league.

    WR Devery Henderson, New Orleans Saints (Owned in53.1 percentof ESPN leagues): A good buy low option if he is already owned in your league, Henderson has had at least 70 yards receiving in three of his last four games. The even better news is that he is going against the team that has given up the third most points to opposing wide receivers all season — the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

    Other wide receivers I would buy low on are Kevin Walter (Texans are without Owen Daniels and playing against the worst pass defense in terms of fantasy points allowed) and Jeremy Maclin, who should see more opportunities now that Brian Westbrook is out.

    Image Source: SB Nation

    Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Posted November 13, 2009 by david carrillo
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    It took 10 weeks but finally fans of the National Football League have gotten what they wanted — another day of football. NFL fans will agree with me when I say that watching football all day on Sunday is the perfect way to end the week. I’m sure they will also agree that Monday Night Football, as the many commercials for it suggest, doesn’t make going to work on Monday any easier but it does give people something to look forward to. But what are fans of the NFL supposed to look forward to the other five days of the week?  

    Thankfully, the NFL has an answer for just that question. To help satisfy people’s insatiable appetite for all things NFL-related, week 10 of the season was kicked off with a Thursday night game between the San Francisco 49ers and Chicago Bears. As I was watching the game, two things came to mind.

    1) Jay Cutler is a turnover machine.

    2) Oh my goodness, it’s week 10. The fantasy football playoffs are just around the corner!

    For many fantasy footballers, there are only a few weeks left before the playoffs begin. It is rapidly becoming do-or-die time and if you are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in you might feel that all is lost. To that I say, in the immortal words of Journey, don’t stop believing!

    If you have players out due to injury, not playing as well as you hoped, or are the victim of some untimely bye weeks, there is still hope. It ain’t over ’till it’s over and it is still possible to salvage your season. It will take a lot of cunning to pull off the necessary trade(s) and a lot of guts to pickup and start a player that other people in your league may scoff at, but desperate times call for desperate measures.

    The following three players — one quarterback, running back, and wide receiver — are either not owned in a decent amount of leagues or should be easy to acquire in a trade. Keep in mind that I am not recommending you start any of these guys over obvious studs. However, if you find yourself struggling at a particular position for whatever reason, the following three guys are worth taking a look at.

    QB David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars: Garrard has scored at least 12 fantasy points in five of his eight games this year and has scored more total fantasy points than both Donovan McNabb and Matt Cassel. Many owners have been quick to pick up Alex Smith and Josh Freeman the last two weeks to fill their backup QB needs, but I would feel much safer with Garrard now that he has a legit wide receiver in Mike-Sims Walker.

    RB Justin Vargas, Oakland Raiders: Thanks to franchise killer JaMarcus Russell the Raiders have been the black hole of fantasy points this season, but Vargas has very quietly put together a nice string of games. In Darren McFadden’s absence over the last three weeks Vargas has put up 9, 8 and 13 fantasy points. It is not stellar by any stretch of the imagination but it makes him a solid RB3/flex, especially in deeper leagues.

    WR Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh Steelers: Wallace has put up double digit fantasy points the last two weeks and four of the last six. In fact, during that time span he has put up a total of 58 fantasy points, which is 23 more than Steelers starting wide receiver Santonio Holmes. While opponents continue to focus on Holmes and Hines Ward, you can bet that Wallace will continue to get open looks.

    Want more fantasy football or basketball advice? Send your questions to my twitter account, @davidcarrillo.

    Image Source: ESPN

    Fantasy Stock Watch: 3 Players On Their Way Down

    Posted November 6, 2009 by david carrillo
    Found in: NBA, Fantasy Sports

    As I noted last Friday, the first few weeks of the fantasy basketball season are of the utmost importance. I promise when you look back at the end of the season at the roster of the championship team you will see that many of their big contributors are players they scooped up off the waiver wire early. 

    With that in mind, last week I pointed out five players that were readily available in standard leagues that I believed were going to be key contributors for the foreseeable future. It is just as important, though, to identify players that are not likely to perform at a high level over the long haul that may have found their way on to your roster. We are specifically looking to identify two types of players:

    1) A player that has started off better than expected and is unlikely to keep up that production.

    2) A player that was drafted with potential that doesn’t look like he will live up to it.

    Identifying these players is important because it will allow you to make better trades and avoid picking up flash-in-the-pan players after single-game breakouts. For instance, if you own a player that is playing above expectations but for whatever reason cannot be reasonably expected to continue to do so, you can trade him at his peak value for a player you believe will help your team more for the rest of the year.

    Now that you have a better understanding of what we are looking for, here are a few players that you should either sell high on or avoid picking up on the waiver wire.

    Tyreke Evans

    G Tyreke Evans, Sacramento Kings (Drafted in 45.8 percent of ESPN leagues): Evans was drafted by a lot of people (including myself in one league) as a rookie point guard with a lot of potential to play big minutes on a team that lacks a lot of talent. How foolish we all were. While Evans may have a bright future ahead of him, he is a rookie playing the most difficult position to learn in the NBA and, as a result, will struggle at times. From a fantasy perspective, owners can look forward to a lot of turnovers, nights of poor shooting, and fewer assists than you would like because the Kings are by far the worst team in the still brutal Western Conference.

    F Channing Frye, Phoenix Suns (Drafted in 5.9 percent of ESPN leagues): Frye had back-to-back games in which he hit an impressive six 3-pointers and saw his ownership rise all the way up to 50.1 percent. While those two outings were indeed great from a fantasy perspective, there is absolutely no reason to think he can have that type of production from here on out. Frye has shot 35 percent from behind the arc for his career and offers little else in terms of fantasy production. I would not drop a more reliable big to pick him up unless you feel you can parlay him in a trade for a better talent.

    C Brad Miller, Chicago Bulls (Drafted in 78.9 percent of ESPN leagues): His ownership has already dropped to 68.1 percent, so the window of opportunity for savvy owners to trade him for another big man is closing fast. There are many reasons to not like him from a fantasy perspective — he plays under 25 minutes a game, doesn’t get enough rebounds or blocks for his position, and isn’t on the floor enough for his solid field goal and free throw percentage to make an impact on your team. My advice is to trade him while it is still possible or consider dropping him for a less heralded center like Roy Hibbert.

    Image Source: Yahoo! Sports

    5 Underrated Fantasy Basketball Players

    Posted October 30, 2009 by david carrillo
    Found in: NBA, Fantasy Sports

    Fresh off of fantasy baseball and right in the middle of fantasy football, the start of the fantasy basketball season could not come at a more hectic time. Yet, here we are in week one of the NBA schedule with a few days of games already under our belts.

    An NBA season is a grueling, 82 game marathon. And while most fantasy drafts have already been completed, fantasy basketball, perhaps more so than any other fantasy sport, is all about picking up free agents early in the season. During the early parts of a season head coaches are experimenting with different lineups and figuring out how to best utilize new players. As a result, you will see certain players surprise you with great production and others disappoint you with poor production.

    Shane Battier

    The key to winning in fantasy basketball is determining early on which players off to a hot start are for real and which ones are imposters. Conversely, it is just as important to figure out which players off to slow starts are most likely to turn it around. This week we will take a look at players off to a hot start that should continue to make a positive impact on your fantasy team.

    As always, the players recommended here are available in a majority of leagues because you do not need me to tell you that Lebron James is going to have a good fantasy season.

    PG Randy Foye, Washington Wizards (Owned in 27.4 percent of ESPN leagues): Foye is technically a combo guard, but he is eligible to start in fantasy at both guard positions. A good sign for Foye is that in the Wizards’ first game of the season — a game in which Foye came off the bench — he logged more minutes (30) than starting shooting guard Mike Miller (22). Although he isn’t quite the three-point threat that Miller is, the fact that he can take over point guard duty for Gilbert Arenas makes me believe that he will continue to log more minutes than Miller this year. Plus, with Arenas’ laundry list of injuries, it is not absurd to assume that Foye will find himself as the starting point guard sometime this season.

    SG Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors (Owned in 64.8 percent of ESPN leagues): Yes, I am well aware of head coach Don Nelson’s propensity for switching lineups more often than he does underwear, but Stephen Curry is too good to keep off of the floor. The rookie has a deadly outside shot and is somehow already more dependable than teammates Monta Ellis and Stephen Jackson, the latter of which is being actively shopped around the league.

    SF Shane Battier, Houston Rockets (Owned in 54 percent of ESPN leagues): The fact that Battier is not owned in all but the shallowest of leagues is mind boggling. The Rockets are without their two biggest scoring threats (Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady), playing with a relatively inexperienced point guard (Aaron Brooks), and an offensively irrelevant center (Chuck Hayes). Someone has to put up fantasy points and they won’t all be coming from new teammate Trevor Ariza.

    PF Yi Jianlian, New Jersey Nets (Owned in 5.3 percent of ESPN leagues): I’ll admit that he has been a mild disappointment thus far in his career, but let me remind you that he is only 22 years old and still learning the nuances of the NBA. He opened with a very strong game against the Minnesota Timberwolves (17 points, 12 rebounds, 2 blocks), and while it may be unrealistic to expect that level of production all season, I see him as a legit fantasy contributor in 12-team fantasy leagues.

    C Marc Gasol, Memphis Grizzlies (Owned in 16.3 percent of ESPN leagues): The center position is arguably the toughest to fill in fantasy basketball, and this is especially true for leagues that require you start two of them. Gasol may not be as good of a scorer as Al Horford or the dominant shot blocker that Dwight Howard is, but he his above average in both and also grabs a lot of rebounds. The Grizzlies also have a lot of players that like to jack up a lot of bad shots early in the shot clock (Rudy Gay, O.J. Mayo, Allen Iverson, Zach Randolph), so if your fantasy league counts offensive rebounds as a category Gasol is even more valuable.

    Fantasy Football Friday

    Posted October 23, 2009 by david carrillo
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    As we approach the halfway point of the fantasy football season, the importance of winning each week seems to be magnified tenfold. This is especially true for teams that would not be in the playoffs if they were to start today. For those on the outside looking in it is easy to fall into a panic, but regardless of your current record and roster predicaments there is still time to turn it around.

    Even if the future looks bleak because Matt Forte, Tony Romo, and the once mighty Steve Smith (Carolina version) have all disappointed your team thus far, there is still value on the waiver wire that can help you get a win this week. None of these guys are going to carry your team to victory like Tom Brady and his six touchdowns did last week, but they are good bye week replacements that could potentially become serviceable starters.

    QB Matt Cassel (Owned in 78.5 percent of ESPN leagues): He laid a big goose egg in week one against the Baltimore Ravens but has been surprisingly dependable since. Cassel has scored double digit fantasy points in four of his last five games and finally seems to be clicking with wide receiver Dwayne Bowe. He also has the fortune of playing at home against the San Diego Chargers, which allowed 18 fantasy points to the less than prolific Kyle Orton and 21 points to Ben Roethlisberger and the suddenly pass-happy Pittsburgh Steelers.

    RB Mike Bell (Owned in 49.7 percent of ESPN leagues): Conventional wisdom says to sit Bell because he is going against one of the best run defenses in the NFL in the Miami Dolphins. To that I respond — there are six teams on their bye week and sometimes you have to take risks. Look, while Bell has split time with Pierre Thomas he also has become the go-to guy on the goal line. Goal line carries lead to rushing touchdowns and the Dolphins allowed two of those last week against the New York Jets.

    WR Hakeem Nicks (Owned in 25.1 percent of ESPN leagues): Of the big three wide receivers on the New York Giants, do you know which is the only one to post double digit fantasy points the last three weeks? You may be surprised to learn that it is Nicks, who has quietly been flying under the radar due to the emergence of the new Steve Smith and the endless hype of Mario Manningham. Look for Nicks to extend his streak to four games as the G-Men face the Arizona Cardinals, who have given up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

    Any defense that is not the Tennessee Titans: If you would have told me before the season that the Titans would be the worst ranked fantasy defense in the NFL, I simply wouldn’t have believed you. Yet, six weeks and three negative scoring games later that is exactly where we stand. Somehow the Titans are still owned in a mind boggling 50.4 percent of leagues, but with this being their bye week it is the perfect time for all you hanger-oners to let go of the past. A few interesting defenses to consider that are widely available — the New England Patriots (11th ranked defense), Cincinnati Bengals (13th ranked defense), and Indianapolis Colts (16th ranked defense).

    For more fantasy advice right up to kickoff, follow me on Twitter @davidcarrillo.

    Image Source: Arrowhead Pride

    GOLD and COLD WEEK 6

    Posted October 16, 2009 by darren
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

     

    GOLD

    Jermichael Finley, GB, TE, vs. Detroit
    Forecast: 5 catches, 63 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    Finley should be in line for a big game this week. Detroit has given up 6 TD’s to Tight Ends this year and should have trouble covering all of Green Bay’s weapons. If the Lions focus on the WRs then Finley should have a huge day over the middle.

    Nate Burleson, SEA, WR, vs. Arizona
    Forecast: 7 catches, 77 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    One of the most underrated WRs in the league is set to have another big game at home. He has 22 catches, 281 yards and 3 TDs in 3 games. Look for this to continue against a Cardinals team giving up plenty yards in the air.

    Matt Hasselbeck, SEA, QB, vs. Arizona
    Forecast: 301 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 Int, 10 rushing yards (23 points)
    Like I said Arizona can be beat in the air and Seattle has plenty of weapons to do it with. Look for Matt to spread the wealth again for another big week.

    Pierre Thomas, NO, RB, vs. NY Giants
    Forecast: 16 carries, 96 yards, 2 catches, 24 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Thomas has been great since his return from his knee injury. With teams keying on Brees and the passing game, Thomas has dominated on the ground averaging 106 yards and a TD. Even better is he can also catch the ball. Keep riding the wave.

    Todd Heap, BAL, TE, @ Minnesota
    Forecast: 5 catches, 45 yards, 1 TD (13 points)
    Minnesota has allowed the most fantasy points to TEs this so Heap should be the next TE to go off against them. Don’t be surprised if he scores this week.

    LaDainian Tomlinson, SD, RB, vs. Denver
    Forecast: 20 carries, 72 yards, 3 catches, 15 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Tomlinson has scored in 6 straight MNF games. And even though the Denver D is improved I see him keeping that streak alive especially after coming off a bye week.

    Jake Delhomme, CAR, QB, @ Tampa Bay
    Forecast: 265 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 Int (20 points)
    Jake should have his best game of the year this week going against the bad Tampa Bay defense. This is one week that he is actually ok to start so take advantage if you need a QB this week

    Vincent Jackson, SD, WR, vs. Denver
    Forecast: 6 catches, 105 yards, 1 TD (17 points)
    Jackson has been good all season and I see that continuing especially with the Chargers coming off a bye. Start him with confidence.

    COLD

    Julius Jones, SEA, RB, vs. Arizona
    Forecast: 13 carries, 38 yards, 2 catches, 10 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    The way to beat Arizona is in the air, they actually have a pretty good run defense. So this week I don’t see Jones having a good game especially when he is splitting with Edge.

    Eddie Royal, DEN, WR, @ San Diego
    Forecast: 3 catches, 34 yards, 0 TD (4 points)
    Royal finally broke out this year, the thing is how long will it continue. I don’t see it happening again this week against a mad SD defense

    Michael Bush, OAK, RB, vs. Philadelphia
    Forecast: 16 carries, 35 yards, 1 catch, 6 yards, 0 TD (4 points)
    There is no reason to start any Raiders this game against a great Eagles defense.

    Jamal Lewis, CLE, RB, @ Pittsburgh
    Forecast: 15 carries, 44 yards, 0 TD (4 points)
    Last weeks surprise big game won’t happen again this week when the Steelers are ready for it.

    Steve Smith, NYG, WR, @ New Orleans
    Forecast: 4 catches, 45 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Saints surprisingly pretty good in pass coverage and Eli could be hurt. Downgrade expectations.

    Last weeks results:
    GOLD
    Jerome Harrison, CLE, RB, @ Buffalo                                                        LOSS
    Forecast: 22 carries, 84 yards, 5 catches, 24 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    Actual: 8 carries, 21 yards, 0 catches, 0 TD (2 points)

    Glen Coffee, SF, RB, VS. Atlanta                                                                    WIN
    Forecast: 25 carries, 77 yards, 4 catches, 26 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Actual: 12 carries, 45 yards, 4 catches, 21 yards, 1 TD (15.5 points)

    David Garrard, JAX, QB, @ Seattle                                                            LOSS
    Forecast: 265 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 Int, 20 rushing yards (18 points
    Actual: 188 passing yards,0 TD, 1 rushing yard (7.5 points)

    Tashard Choice, DAL, RB, @Kansas City                                                 WIN
    Forecast: 17 carries, 77 yards, 5 catches, 44 yards, 1 TD (22 points)
    Actual: 8 carries, 95 yards, 1 TD (15.5 points)

    Nate Washington, TEN, WR, VS. Indianapolis                                 LOSS
    Forecast: 6 catches, 89 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 37 yards, 0 TD (4.5 points)\

    John Carlson, SEA, TE, VS. Jacksonville                                           LOSS
    Forecast: 6 catches, 50 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 31 yards, 0 TD (2.5 points)

    Knowshon Moreno, DEN, RB, VS. New England                               WIN
    Forecast: 18 carries, 83 yards, 4 catches, 20 yards (13 points)
    Actual: 21 carries, 88 yards, 4 catches, 36 yards,1 lost Fum (12.5 points)

    Braylon Edwards, NYJ, WR, @ Miami                                                WIN
    Forecast: 4 catches, 60 yards, 1 TD (13 points)
    Actual: 5 catches, 64 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
                                                                                                          ___________

                                                                                       Week:        4-4(50%)

    COLD
    Tony Gonzalez, ATL, TE, @ San Francisco                                 WIN
    Forecast: 4 catches, 34 yards, 0 TD ( 6 points)
    Actual: 6 catches, 55 yards, TD (8 points)
    Steve Smith, NYG, WR, VS. Oakland                                               WIN
    Forecast: 3 catches, 34 yards, 0 TD (4 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 70 yards, 0 TD (6.5 points)
    Joseph Addai, IND, RB, @ Tennessee                                               LOSS
    Forecast: 12 carries, 37 yards, 4 catches, 21 yards, 0 TD (8 points)
    Actual: 14 carries, 27 yards, 10 catches, 53 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    Thomas Jones, NYJ, RB, @ Miami                                                  LOSS
    Forecast: 16 carries, 45 yards, 1 catch, 4 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    Actual: 13 carries, 42 yards, 2 TD (16 points)
    Michael Turner, ATL, RB, @ San Francisco                                 LOSS
    Forecast: 25 carries, 59 yards, 1 catch, 6 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Actual: 22 carries, 97 yards, 3 TD (27 points)
    _____________

                                                                                               WEEK: 2-3(40%)

    look to previous weeks for scoring benchmarks

    Image source: AP

    Week 5 GOLD and COLD

    Posted October 11, 2009 by darren
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    GOLD

    Jerome Harrison, CLE, RB, @ Buffalo
    Forecast: 22 carries, 84 yards, 5 catches, 24 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    Injuries in the Browns backfield have left Harrison as the last man standing and this has been good for the both of them. Thrown into the starting lineup against a tough Bengals D he preformed well going for over 100 yards rushing. Harrisons best asset is that he is a good receiver witch will help when the Browns are down.

    Glen Coffee, SF, RB, VS. Atlanta
    Forecast: 25 carries, 77 yards, 4 catches, 26 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Gore will be out again leaving the 49er running game to the very capable Coffee. The Falcons have not been that strong stopping the run so I can see Coffee having another solid day. Even better I see him getting in the End Zone this week

    David Garrard, JAX, QB, @ Seattle
    Forecast: 265 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 Int, 20 rushing yards (18 points
    Garrard has been very solid at QB and this week he is going against a weak defense. He can beat teams on the ground and in the air and he has been pretty good at not turning the ball over. He should have another solid game right here.

    Tashard Choice, DAL, RB, @Kansas City
    Forecast: 17 carries, 77 yards, 5 catches, 44 yards, 1 TD (22 points)
    If Barber is limited or not playing then these numbers could be even bigger. Choice has been solid when given the opportunity to play and going against a weak defense, he will be the prime Choice in the Dallas backfield.

    Nate Washington, TEN, WR, VS. Indianapolis
    Forecast: 6 catches, 89 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Washington has scored in three straight weeks and has become the Titians #1 receiver. I see them having to throw the ball a lot in this one to keep up with the Colts offense.

    John Carlson, SEA, TE, VS. Jacksonville
    Forecast: 6 catches, 50 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    The return of Matt Hasselbeck should help Carlson greatly. I see him getting back to being one of the better TE options in fantasy football. Going against Jacksonville should be just what the doctor ordered.

    Knowshon Moreno, DEN, RB, VS. New England
    Forecast: 18 carries, 83 yards, 4 catches, 20 yards (13 points)
    Knowshon has scored in two straight games and is fast becoming the main option in the Denver backfield. He doesn’t have a great match-up this week but I still see him having a good game.

    Braylon Edwards, NYJ, WR, @ Miami
    Forecast: 4 catches, 60 yards, 1 TD (13 points)
    I know this is a big reach but I could see the Jets throwing to Edwards right away. The Dolphins have been bad against the deep ball and that is just Braylon’s specialty. Look for them to go deep at least a couple times in this game.

    COLD
    Tony Gonzalez, ATL, TE, @ San Francisco

    Forecast: 4 catches, 34 yards, 0 TD ( 6 points)
    The 49ers have been very good against opposing TE’s this season. They have very athletic LB’s that can cover. Look for him to have lower numbers this week.

    Steve Smith, NYG, WR, VS. Oakland
    Forecast: 3 catches, 34 yards, 0 TD (4 points)
    With Eli doubtful for the game and going against one of the best corners in the league it will be hard for Smith to keep up his excellent play this week.

    Joseph Addai, IND, RB, @ Tennessee
    Forecast: 12 carries, 37 yards, 4 catches, 21 yards, 0 TD (8 points)
    Addai had a good week last week but I don’t see it happening again this week. He is in almost a 50-50 split with Donald Brown making big weeks more and more rare. Now he has to go up against the Titians tough running defense.

    Thomas Jones, NYJ, RB, @ Miami
    Forecast: 16 carries, 45 yards, 1 catch, 4 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    Another player in a time share going against a tough running defense, I don’t see a big game from Jones this week. Without that TD run last week he really didn’t do anything.

    Michael Turner, ATL, RB, @ San Francisco
    Forecast: 25 carries, 59 yards, 1 catch, 6 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Follow the trend? Three straight weeks owners should lower their expectations going against the tough 49er defense. This week is even worse because Turner is no threat in the passing game.

    Week 4 Results
    GOLD
    Glen Coffee, SF, RB, VS. St. Louis                                                                           WIN

    Forecast: 25 carries, 99 rushing yards, 3 catches, 15 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Actual: 24 carries, 74 rushing yards, 4 catches, 32 yards, 0 TD (12.9 points)
    Pierre Garcon, IND, WR, VS. Seattle                                                                    LOSS
    Forecast: 5 catches, 74 yards, 1 TD
    Actual: 3 catches, 71 yards, 0 TD (6.5 points)
    Terrell Owens, BUF, WR, @ Miami                                                                       LOSS
    Forecast: 7 catches, 113 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 60 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Carson Palmer, CIN, QB, @ Cleveland                                                                   WIN
    Forecast: 276 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 Int (19 points)
    Actual: 230 passing yards, 2 TD,1 Int, 20 rushing yards (17.2 points)
    Cedric Benson, CIN, RB, @ Cleveland                                                                LOSS
    Forecast: 23 carries, 103 rushing yards, 2 catches, 10 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Actual: 18 carries, 74 rushing yards, 1 catch, 12 yards, 0 TD (9 points)
    Vernon Davis, SF, TE, VS. St. Louis                                                                   WIN
    Forecast: 6 catches, 74 yards, 1 TD ( 15 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 43 yards, 1 TD (11 points)
    Devin Hester, CHI, WR, VS. Detroit                                                                    INJ
    Forecast: 6 catches, 96 yards, 1 TD
    Actual: 1 catch, 2 yards, (INJURED)
    Eli Manning, NYG, QB, @ Kansas City                                                               WIN
    Forecast: 301 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 Int, 10 rushing yards (21 points)
    Actual: 292 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 Int, 1 lost Fum (19. 6 points)
    ______________________
    Week 4: 4-3-1injured (57%)
    Season: 16-15 (55%)
    COLD
    Knowshon Moreno, DEN, RB, VS. Dallas                                                               LOSS

    Forecast: 18 carries, 44 rushing yards, 2 catches, 7 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Actual: 14 carries, 65 yards, 2 catches, 11 yards, 1 TD, 1 lost FUM (12 points)
    Steven Jackson, STL, RB, @ San Francisco                                                               WIN
    Forecast: 20 carries, 47 yards, 4 catches, 20 yards, 0 TD (9 points)
    Actual: 23 carries, 79 yards, 3 catches, 6 yards, 0 TD (11 points)
    Marques Colston, NO, WR, VS. New York Jets                                                    WIN
    Forecast: 3 catches, 44 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 33 yards, 0 TD (3.5 points)
    Brett Favre, MIN, QB, VS. Green Bay                                                                        LOSS
    Forecast: 252 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 Int (10 points)
    Actual: 271 passing yards, 3 TD, 0 Int (22.8 points)
    John Carlson, SEA, TE, @ Indianapolis                                                               WIN
    Forecast: 3 catches, 42 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    Actual: 5 catches, 39 yards, 0 TD (6.9 points)
    ___________________
    Week 4: 3-2 (60%)
    Season: 12-8 (60%)

    source image: Getty

    GOLD and COLD Week 4

    Posted October 2, 2009 by darren
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    GOLD

    Glen Coffee, SF, RB, VS. St. Louis
    Forecast: 25 carries, 99 rushing yards, 3 catches, 15 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    With Gore out for what could be a long time it’s time for Glen Coffee to shine. He has an excellent match-up this week against the Rams and you know the Niners like to run. They should have a comfortable lead in the second half and just pound the rock with Coffee. I see a big day in his first start.

    Pierre Garcon, IND, WR, VS. Seattle
    Forecast: 5 catches, 74 yards, 1 TD
    With everyone focusing their attention on Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark, Pierre has preformed well scoring a TD in two straight games. Peyton Manning has shown that he trusts Garcon and the way he is throwing the ball around I see his TD streak to continue.

    Terrell Owens, BUF, WR, @ Miami
    Forecast: 7 catches, 113 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    T.O. was shut out for the first time in 181 games. I don’t see that happening again this week especially against a Miami defense that has been prone to the big play. If T.O. can hold on to the ball I see him having a huge game. You know the Bills are going to at least try to give him the ball this game.

    Carson Palmer, CIN, QB, @ Cleveland
    Forecast: 276 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 Int (19 points)
    Getting a break from the tough defenses(DEN,PIT,GB) that he has faced so far Palmer should have his breakout game this season. The Browns have been horrible all around and this could be just what the doctor ordered for Carson. Start him with confidence.

    Cedric Benson, CIN, RB, @ Cleveland
    Forecast: 23 carries, 103 rushing yards, 2 catches, 10 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Benson has performed well this season no matter what the match-up. He is getting into the must start zone every week. He should have another big game against the Browns who have been ran all over by everybody. I see it happening again this season.

    Vernon Davis, SF, TE, VS. St. Louis
    Forecast: 6 catches, 74 yards, 1 TD ( 15 points)
    When Gore went down in Min the 49ers had to rely more on the passing game to move the ball. They used their most explosive player Davis well and he had a huge game. Well Gore is out again this week and I could see him having another big game as they might need to pass again.

    Devin Hester, CHI, WR, VS. Detroit
    Forecast: 6 catches, 96 yards, 1 TD
    Detroit’s defense has been horrible against the pass and Hester has been surprisingly solid this year being a WR. I see him going off in a big way this week stretching the field deep.

    Eli Manning, NYG, QB, @ Kansas City
    Forecast: 301 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 Int, 10 rushing yards (21 points)
    The Giants held the ball for most of the game last week so Eli was not needed as much to throw the ball around. This week it could happen again but I see him throwing it around a little more this week. Look for him to have a solid game with no turnovers this week.

    COLD
    Knowshon Moreno, DEN, RB, VS. Dallas

    Forecast: 18 carries, 44 rushing yards, 2 catches, 7 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Dallas has been surprisingly solid against the run this season and Moreno is in a timeshare. I just don’t see him having the same production against a better defense. Lower your expectations this week.

    Steven Jackson, STL, RB, @ San Francisco
    Forecast: 20 carries, 47 yards, 4 catches, 20 yards, 0 TD (9 points)
    Yes you are probably starting him anyway but the 49ers have a solid defense against the run and the Rams will be behind for most of the game. I know he is there only option on offense but I wouldn’t count on him this week.

    Marques Colston, NO, WR, VS. New York Jets
    Forecast: 3 catches, 44 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    The Saints will throw the ball a ton every week but this week Colston has to deal with one of the NFL’s top cover corner, Darrelle Revis. He has previously shut down Randy Moss and Andre Johnson so I wouldn’t be surprised if he is shadowing Colston all day. I think he will be shutout of the end zone this week.

    Brett Favre, MIN, QB, VS. Green Bay
    Forecast: 252 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 Int (10 points)
    Everybody has been going crazy about Favre just because of one throw, a great throw at that. But his numbers before that were just average and going in this week against a Green Bay team that leads the league in Ints I see a let down this week. Though it’s not going to be because he is not trying hard to beat his former team.

    John Carlson, SEA, TE, @ Indianapolis
    Forecast: 3 catches, 42 yards, 0 TD (5 points)
    The Colts have been pretty solid against TE’s this year and I see them doing it again this week. The Seahawks will be down and forced to pass but I see them throwing it more to the WR this week if S.Wallace is still at QB

    SCORING BENCHMARKS
    QBs: 12+ fantasy points
    RBs: 12+ fantasy points
    WRs: 10+ fantasy points
    TEs: 8+ fantasy points
    *Scoring system:
    4 PTs/Pass TD
    1 PT/25 pass yards
    6 PTs/Rush-Rec TD
    1 PT/Reception
    1 PT/10 Rush yards
    1 PT/20 Rec yards
    -2 PT/INT or FL

    Week 3 Results:
    GOLD
    Antonio Gates, SD, TE, VS. Miami                                                                              WIN
    Forecast: 8 catches, 113 yards, 2 Tds (25 points)
    Actual: 5 catches, 64 yards, 0 TD (8.4 points)
    Tim Hightower, ARI, RB, VS. Indianapolis                                                                LOSS
    Forecast: 17 carries, 96 rushing yards, 3 catches, 21 yards, 1 TD (19 points)
    Actual: 9 carries, 22 rushing yards, 5 catches, 39 yards, 0 TD, 1 lost Fum (7 points)
    Matt Forte, CHI, RB, @ Seattle                                                                                          WIN
    Forecast: 23 carries, 103 yards, 3 catches, 22 yards, 1 TD (21 points)
    Actual: 21 carries, 66 yards, 6 catches, 40 yards, 0 TD (14.6 points)
    Brandon Jacobs, NYG, RB, @ Tampa Bay                                                                     WIN
    Forecast: 22 carries, 115 rushing yards, 1 catch, 8 yards, 2 Tds (24 points)
    Actual: 26 carries, 96 rushing yards, 1 TD (15.6 points)
    Brent Celek, PHI, TE, VS. Kansas City                                                                            WIN
    Forecast: 6 catches, 76 yards, 1 TD (15 points)
    Actual: 8 catches, 104 yards, 1 TD (19 points)
    Mario Manningham, NYG, WR, @ Tampa Bay                                                            LOSS
    Forecast: 6 catches, 96 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Actual: 4 catches, 55 yards, 0 TD (6.5 points)
    Felix Jones, DAL, RB, VS. Carolina                                                                                   LOSS
    Forecast: 17 carries, 98 yards, 2 catches, 17 yards, 1 TD (17 points)
    Actual: 9 carries, 94 yards, 1 catch, 20 yards (11.4 points)
    Byron Leftwich, TB, QB, VS. New York Giants                                                              LOSS
    Forecast: 305 passing yards, 3 Tds, 2 Int, 10 rushing yards (21 points)
    Actual: Yikkes 22 passing yards, 1 Int (-2 points)
    ___________
    Week: 4 -4 (50%)
    Season: 12 -12 (50%)

    COLD

    Willie Parker, PIT, RB, @ Cincinnati                                                                         LOSS
    Forecast:15 carries, 38 rushing yards, 0 Tds (3 points)
    Actual: 25 carries, 93 yards, 2 catches, 36 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Adrian Peterson, MIN, RB, VS. San Francisco                                                     WIN
    Forecast: 24 carries, 47 rushing yards, 1 catch, 8 yards, 1 TD (11 points)
    Actual: 19 carries, 85 yards, 2 catches, 14 yards, 0 TD (11 points)
    Darren McFadden, OAK, RB, VS. Denver                                                                 WIN
    Forecast: 14 carries, 43 rushing yards, 2 catches, 15 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Actual: 12 carries, 45 yards, 2 catches, 3 yards, 0 TD (6.5 points)
    Hines Ward, PIT, WR, @ Cincinnati                                                                         WIN
    Forecast: 4 catches, 41 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Actual: 4 catches, 82 yards, 0 TD (8 points)
    Brandon Marshall, DEN, WR, @ Oakland                                                               LOSS
    Forecast: 3 catches, 37 yards, 0 Tds (4 points)
    Actual: 5 catches, 67 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
     _____________
    Week: 3 -2 (60%)
    Season: 9-6 (60%)

    Source Image: AP

    GOLD and COLD WEEK 3

    Posted September 25, 2009 by darren
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    GOLD

    Antonio Gates, SD, TE, VS. Miami

    Forecast: 8 catches, 113 yards, 2 Tds (25 points)
    Yes, I know if you own him you are starting him anyway, but I think he is for a huge game against TE friendly Miami. Miami has already been torched by Tony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark and now they have to deal with Gates. Even better for Gates is that LT might not play again meaning Rivers is going to throw the ball a lot. Expect a huge game from Gates.

    Tim Hightower, ARI, RB, VS. Indianapolis
    Forecast: 17 carries, 96 rushing yards, 3 catches, 21 yards, 1 TD (19 points)
    The Colts run defense has been horrible of late, that bodes well for Hightower who has been surprisingly solid so far. Whether it’s been running or receiving he has made an impact. I expect solid number against this weak defense.

    Matt Forte, CHI, RB, @ Seattle
    Forecast: 23 carries, 103 yards, 3 catches, 22 yards, 1 TD (21 points)
    Forte has struggled in the first two games this season and has disappointed some owners. Well this week he should go off. Did you see what Frank Gore did to this defense? Well I expect something similar from the talented Forte.

    Brandon Jacobs, NYG, RB, @ Tampa Bay
    Forecast: 22 carries, 115 rushing yards, 1 catch, 8 yards, 2 Tds (24 points)
    Like Forte, I see a struggling player getting right against a weaker opponent. Jacobs has not been over 20 carries in any of the first to games, well I see that changing this week. With more opportunities he will go off this week.

    Brent Celek, PHI, TE, VS. Kansas City
    Forecast: 6 catches, 76 yards, 1 TD (15 points)
    With McNabb out and Kevin Kolb as QB, I see another big performance from Celek. Kolb looked for him a lot last week and Celek ended with 8 catches and over 100 yards. I see another big game coming against the Chiefs

    Mario Manningham, NYG, WR, @ Tampa Bay
    Forecast: 6 catches, 96 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Tampa Bay have been giving up huge plays in the passing game so its only right that Mario goes off again this week after coming up huge against Dallas. He has been the Giants big play receiver so far this season and I don’t see it changing against Tampa.

    Felix Jones, DAL, RB, VS. Carolina
    Forecast: 17 carries, 98 yards, 2 catches, 17 yards, 1 TD (17 points)
    With Marion Barber being out for the game, Jones should get more opportunities to run wild this week. He is a threat to go all the way on every touch. He should have a couple big plays in this game so start him with confidence.

    Byron Leftwich, TB, QB, VS. New York Giants
    Forecast: 305 passing yards, 3 Tds, 2 Int, 10 rushing yards (21 points)
    Leftwich has had to throw a ton in the first two weeks and it doesn’t look it’s going to change. The Giants should take a early lead forcing Tampa to pass all day. I could see Leftwich throwing for around 300 yards and a couple TDs. But be careful he could have some turnovers also.

    COLD
    Willie Parker, PIT, RB, @ Cincinnati
    Forecast:15 carries, 38 rushing yards, 0 Tds (3 points)
    The Steelers have struggled to run the ball and there has been talk that Parker has lost a step. Against a solid defense I don’t see him improving this week. It might be time to give up on Parker for this season if Rashard Mendenhall has a good game this week.

    Adrian Peterson, MIN, RB, VS. San Francisco
    Forecast: 24 carries, 47 rushing yards, 1 catch, 8 yards, 1 TD (11 points)
    I know your thinking I’m crazy right now but I think the 49ers will keep Peterson in check this week. The last time they played they held him to his worst game ever 3 yards on 14 carries. Now there defense is better and Peterson has not been practicing because of a bad back. I don’t think he will have a huge game this week but your probably starting him anyway.

    Darren McFadden, OAK, RB, VS. Denver
    Forecast: 14 carries, 43 rushing yards, 2 catches, 15 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Last week I thought Bush would get the goal-line carries but it was McFadden. The Denver defense has been solid so far this season and I think it will be hard for McFadden to duplicate last week against the Chiefs.

    Hines Ward, PIT, WR, @ Cincinnati
    Forecast: 4 catches, 41 yards, 0 TD (6 points)
    Last year in this game he broke the jaw of Keith Rivers on a blind side hit that is now illegal. This week he has talked about doing it again if he gets the opportunity. I think he is going to have a huge target on his back. Besides that he looks like he has lost a step this season.

    Brandon Marshall, DEN, WR, @ Oakland
    Forecast: 3 catches, 37 yards, 0 Tds (4 points)
    Two words “Nnamdi Asomugha.” he should be shadowed on Marshall all day making it tough for him. Even worse he still hasn’t made a strong connection with Kyle Orton. I guess missing practice will do that.

    SCORING BENCHMARKS
    QBs: 12+ fantasy points
    RBs: 12+ fantasy points
    WRs: 10+ fantasy points
    TEs: 8+ fantasy points
    *Scoring system:
    4 PTs/Pass TD
    1 PT/25 pass yards
    6 PTs/Rush-Rec TD
    1 PT/Reception
    1 PT/10 Rush yards
    1 PT/20 Rec yards
    -2 PT/INT or FL

    GOLD
    Michael Bush, OAK, RB, @ Kansas City                                                                LOSS
    Forecast: 15 carries, 65 rushing yards, 2 catches, 15 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    Actual: 9 carries, 35 rushing yards, 1 catch, 17 yards, 0 Tds (4.3 points)
    Santana Moss, WAS, WR, Vs. St. Louis                                                                  LOSS
    Forecast: 7 catches, 95 yards, 1 TD (17 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 35 yards, 1 Fumble Lost, 0 TD (2.75 points)
    Ben Roethlisberger, PIT, QB, @ Chicago                                                               WIN
    Forecast: 301 passing yards, 2 TDs, 2 TO, 10 rushing yards (17 points)
    Actual: 221 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 Int, 6 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD (17.5)
    Steve Smith, CAR, WR, @ Atlanta                                                                             WIN
    Forecast: 8 catches, 120 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    Actual: 8 catches, 131 yards, 0 TD (14.5 points)
    Leon Washington, NYJ, RB, Vs. New England                                                    LOSS
    Forecast: 15 carries, 75 rushing yards, 5 catches, 40 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    Actual: 14 carries, 58 rushing yards, 2 catches, 18 yards, 1 Fumble Lost (6.8 points)
    Bernard Berrian, MIN, WR, @ Detroit                                                                  LOSS
    Forecast: 5 catches, 113 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Actual: 6 catches, 46 yards, 0 TD (8.3 points)
    Vernon Davis, SF, TE, Vs. Seattle                                                                            LOSS
    Forecast: 6 catches, 55 yards (8 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 32 yards (3.6 points)
    Philip Rivers, SD, QB, Vs. Baltimore                                                                        WIN
    Forecast: 265 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 1 Int (20 points)
    Actual: 436 passing yards, 2 passing Tds, 2 Int, 10 rushing yards (22.4 points)
                          ___________
    Last Week: 3- 5 (37.5%)
    Season: 8- 8 (50%)

    COLD
    Mike Bell, NO, RB, @ Philadelphia                                                                  LOSS
    Forecast: 12 carries, 43 rushing yards, 1 catch, 5 yards, 0 TDs (5 points)
    Actual: 17 carries, 86 rushing yards, 1 catch, 9 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Roy Williams, DAL, WR, Vs. New York Giants                                              WIN
    Forecast: 3 catches, 46 yards, 0 TDs (5 points)
    Actual: 1 catch, 18 yards, 0 TD (1.8 points)
    DeSean Jackson, PHI, WR, Vs. New Orleans                                                 LOSS
    Forecast: 3 catches, 22 yards, 1 carry, 14 yards (5 points)
    Actual: 4 catches, 101 yards, 3 carries, 15 yards, 1 TD (16.5 points)
    Julius Jones, SEA, RB, @ San Francisco                                                          WIN
    Forecast: 20 carries, 49 yards, 2 catches, 10 yards, 0 TDs (6 points)
    Actual: 8 carries, 11 yards, 3 catches, -3 yards, 1 TD (9.8 points)
    Tin Hightower, ARI, RB, @ Jacksonville                                                        LOSS
    Forecast: 12 carries, 44 yards, 3 catches, 15 yards, 0 TDs (7 points)
    Actual: 15 carries, 72 yards, 3 catches, 12 yards, 1 TD (16.7 points)
    ____________
    Last Week: 2- 3 (40%)
    Season: 6- 4 (60%)

    Image Source: Getty Images

    Fantasy Football: GOLD and COLD Performers for Week 2

    Posted September 18, 2009 by darren
    Found in: Fantasy Sports, NFL

    GOLD

    Michael Bush, OAK, RB, @ Kansas City
    Forecast: 15 carries, 65 rushing yards, 2 catches, 15 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    Bush looked good running the ball against the Chargers on Monday night, totaling 60 yards and a touchdown on 13 touches. He is the power to Darren McFadden’s speed in Oakland’s 2-back rotation and this week they play the lowly Chiefs. I see him having at least the same production with good chance for even more.

    Santana Moss, WAS, WR, Vs. St. Louis
    Forecast: 7 catches, 95 yards, 1 TD (17 points)
    The Redskins struggled on offense against the Giants, limiting Moss to only 2 catches for 6 yards. But the Rams are not the Giants and I see the offense getting on track this week. Moss should get a lot more space to operate. I see a big game for him this week.

    Ben Roethlisberger, PIT, QB, @ Chicago
    Forecast: 301 passing yards, 2 TDs, 2 TO, 10 rushing yards (17 points)
    The Steelers are no longer a running team. Not with the O-line that they currently have. So its safe to say that Big Ben is going to be throwing the ball around on Sunday because that’s the only way they can move the ball. The Bears defense is no push over but they can give up some big plays in the passing game. I see Ben going over 300 yards again with a couple TDs. He might have a couple turnovers too so beware.

    Steve Smith, CAR, WR, @ Atlanta
    Forecast: 8 catches, 120 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    People are panicking on Smith because of the horrible QB play that the Panthers are getting. Well calm down because he’ll show this week why you picked him as an elite WR. It’s not like they weren’t throwing the ball to him (13 targets). I see him going off for a big game against a secondary that is not as good as Philly.

    Leon Washington, NYJ, RB, Vs. New England
    Forecast: 15 carries, 75 rushing yards, 5 catches, 40 yards, 1 TD (20 points)
    The Patriots defense is not as strong as it was in years past so there is no reason to fear them. Fred Jackson had a big game against them on Monday and I see a trend forming when they play the Jets. The Jets have Thomas Jones to soften up the defense then Washington will explode for a big play. I see it working that way on Sunday in a surprise Jets win.

    Bernard Berrian, MIN, WR, @ Detroit
    Forecast: 5 catches, 113 yards, 1 TD (16 points)
    Finally healthy and practicing, I see him and Favre hooking up for some big gains against a horrible Lions defense.

    Vernon Davis, SF, TE, Vs. Seattle
    Forecast: 6 catches, 55 yards (8 points)
    People have been waiting for him to blow up for a couple years now. It seemed like every year he was a sleeper pick. We’ll now with lowered expectations it looks like he is ready to be a solid contributor. I see him getting around 5 catches a game and even better he is probable the 49ers best red zone threat. Keep an eye on this guy.

    Philip Rivers, SD, QB, Vs. Baltimore
    Forecast: 265 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 1 Int (20 points)
    Yes, the Ravens have a solid defense but I think they lost a lot in losing their coordinator and Bart Scott. Another big factor will be that LT might not play forcing the Chargers to rely more on Rivers. I see a good game. Start him with confidence.

    COLD
    Mike Bell, NO, RB, @ Philadelphia
    Forecast: 12 carries, 43 rushing yards, 1 catch, 5 yards, 0 TDs (5 points)
    Every body’s prize pick up of the week is in for a rude awakening. The Eagles are not the Lions and there is going to be little room for him to run. Even worse for him is that starter Pierre Thomas has been practicing this week and will probably play on Sunday. This will dig into Bell’s carries even more. I say Bell’s value is about to take a big hit so deal him if you can.

    Roy Williams, DAL, WR, Vs. New York Giants
    Forecast: 3 catches, 46 yards, 0 TDs (5 points)
    Williams big game against the Buccs was a mirage when you see that 66 yards of his 86 came on one long blown coverage. Other than that he didn’t have that good of a game. Let’s see if he can do it against a real defense, which I don’t think he can.

    DeSean Jackson, PHI, WR, Vs. New Orleans
    Forecast: 3 catches, 22 yards, 1 carry, 14 yards (5 points)
    If McNabb is out, which it looks like he is, Jackson will struggle. Last game he barley did any thing and aside from the long punt return it was a forgettable game. I see another one coming without his QB.

    Julius Jones, SEA, RB, @ San Francisco
    Forecast: 20 carries, 49 yards, 2 catches, 10 yards, 0 TDs (6 points)
    Jones had a huge game last week against the lowly Rams. We’ll the Niners are not the Rams and last week they shutdown the high power Cardinals offense. Their running game could do nothing against the 49ers defense and I see them shutting that down again.

    Tin Hightower, ARI, RB, @ Jacksonville
    Forecast: 12 carries, 44 yards, 3 catches, 15 yards, 0 TDs (7 points)
    Last weeks 12 catch game will not happen again any time soon. That was a product of hurt receivers and good pressure on Warner for the 49ers defense. With the WRs getting health I see them throwing the ball to them a lot more this weekend, hurting Hightower’s production.

    SCORING BENCHMARKS
    QBs: 12+ fantasy points
    RBs: 12+ fantasy points
    WRs: 10+ fantasy points
    TEs: 8+ fantasy points
    *Scoring system:
    4 PTs/Pass TD
    1 PT/25 pass yards
    6 PTs/Rush-Rec TD
    1 PT/Reception
    1 PT/10 Rush yards
    1 PT/20 Rec yards
    -2 PT/INT or FL

    Last Week’s Results:
    Gold
    Leon Washington, NYJ, RB                                                                                 WIN
    Forecast: 10 carries, 60 yards, 5 catches, 40 yards, 1 TD (19 points)
    Actual: 15 carries, 60 yards, 4 catches, 24 yards (12.4 points)
    Josh Morgan, SF, WR                                                                                           LOSS
    Forecast: 5 catches, 65 yards, 1 TD ( 14 points)
    Actual: 3 catches, 38 yards ( 4.9 points)
    Robert Meacham, NO, WR                                                                                  WIN
    Forecast: 3 catches, 105 yards, 1 TD (14 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 51 yards, 1 TD ( 10.5 points)
    Cedric Benson, CIN, RB                                                                                        WIN
    Forecast: 26 carries, 110 yards, 1 catch, 7 yards, 1 TD (18 points)
    Actual: 21 carries, 76 yards, 4 catches, 32 yards, 1 TD (19.2 points)
    Anthony Fasano, MIA, TE                                                                                     LOSS
    Forecast: 5 catches, 56 yards, 1 TD (13 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 10 yards (2.5 points)
    Julius Jones, SEA, RB                                                                                            WIN
    Forecast: 23 carries, 103 yards, 2 catches, 21 yards (13 points)
    Actual: 19 carries, 117 yards, 2 catches, 19 yards, 1 TD ( 21.6 points)
    Joe Flacco, BAL, QB                                                                                               WIN
    Forecast: 205 passing yards, 17 rushing, 2 TD passes, 0 Int (17 points)
    Actual: 307 passing yards, 18 rushing, 3 TD passes, 1 Int (24 points)
    Shaun Hill, SF,QB                                                                                                    LOSS
    Forecast: 230 passing yards, 15 rushing yards, 2 TD passes, 1 Int (16 points)
    Actual: 209 passing yards, 1 TD pass, 1 lost fumble ( 10.4 points)
    ___________
    Last Week: 5 - 3 ( 63%)
    Season: 5- 3 (63%)

    COLD
    Jamal Lewis, CLE, RB                                                                                   WIN
    Forecast: 23 carries, 43 yards, 1 catch, 4 yards, 0 TDs (5 points)
    Actual: 11 carries 57 yards, 3 catches, 37 yards 0 TDs ( 10.5 points)
    Dwayne Bowe, KAN, WR                                                                              LOSS
    Forecast: 4 catches, 43 yards 0 TDs (6 points)
    Actual: 4 catches, 40 yards, 1 TD (12 points)
    Terrell Owens, BUF, WR                                                                              WIN
    Forecast: 5 catches, 55 yards, 0 TDs (7 points)
    Actual: 2 catches, 46 yards, 0 Tds (4.3 points)
    Eli Manning, NYG, QB                                                                                   WIN
    Forecast: 180 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 Int (9 points)
    Actual: 256 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 Int, 1 fumbles lost (10.2 points)
    Clinton Portis, WAS, RB                                                                                WIN
    Forecast: 20 carries, 57 yards, 2 catches, 12 yards, 0 Tds (7 points)
    Actual: 16 carries, 62 yards, 1 catch, 10 yards, 0 Tds (7.7 points)
    ___________
      Last Week: 4 -1 (80%)
    Season: 4 -1 (80%)

    Image Source: Getty